United States Federal government shutdown of 1995, which is to say that government employees (including law enforcement, scientists, lawyers, diplomats, etc.) did not work. In 1995, these employees were paid. Pence's spending freeze would literally mean that they would not get paid.
It is fair, therefore, to say that many of these employees would have to turn to the private sector to find work. Right now, however, the private sector is laying people off. Hence the following:
Lay off a government worker, and he’ll just be unemployed. And as an unemployed government worker, he’ll spend less at local stores leading to more layoffs in retail and more excess inventory in manufacturing. This kind of thing is how recessions become depressions.
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